So, if we were to put a drug out that killed or seriously harmed thirty-two people for every one it cured, there’d be some pretty extreme reaction. At the very least there would be lawsuits, there would be FDA recalls, and lots and lots of juicy news coverage.

Now, to complicate things, there are people out there who were really, truly cured by this drug. They’d be dead or horribly disabled without this drug. And there’s a huge population of people out there, who want to keep this drug in the medicine cabinets–because the syndrome that this drug cures is very well known and in the news a lot. But there’s a good chance, an overwhelming chance, that the drug in their cabinet will do active harm rather than help someone.

Okay, now lets complicate things even further: if you are properly trained in the administration of this drug, particularly if you’ve taken advanced training, the drug has a higher chance of working. But a very small percentage of the people who want this drug in their cabinets are willing to take this training. In fact, keeping this drug in your cabinet increases your chances of being harmed by the syndrome, fourteen times.

Let’s go over the numbers. First of all, 1 cure for every 32 failures. If you keep this drug in your home, you are 14 times more likely to be harmed by the syndrome than cured by the drug.
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